Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 9.113035 10.397173 11.803088 13.457499 15.352366 17.456386 19.972064
2026-01-11 7.548460 9.273369 11.309111 13.892642 17.089864 20.924382 25.884046
2026-01-18 6.311369 8.168107 10.478604 13.572071 17.617110 22.742864 29.757365
2026-01-25 5.462009 7.377381 9.866790 13.350168 18.117223 24.439845 33.508107
2026-02-01 4.810704 6.742288 9.349135 13.139395 18.536205 25.984893 37.116630
2026-02-08 4.283952 6.205147 8.886623 12.921465 18.874480 27.390262 40.597220
2026-02-15 3.847601 5.742602 8.469702 12.703673 19.156875 28.695844 44.001819
2026-02-22 3.677299 5.646393 8.563530 13.229267 20.564011 31.750386 50.293352
2026-03-01 3.448931 5.436402 8.460805 13.433265 21.477930 34.108903 55.691053
2026-03-08 3.189492 5.151594 8.212907 13.377145 21.959335 35.805953 60.147812
2026-03-15 2.949283 4.874446 7.949764 13.265282 22.326213 37.327329 64.421161
2026-03-22 2.845471 4.809968 8.021432 13.706300 23.641907 40.514235 71.810873
2026-03-29 2.720281 4.701585 8.015176 14.020809 24.779751 43.516063 79.202589
2026-04-05 2.627432 4.640252 8.082059 14.465192 26.179832 47.088937 87.960397
2026-04-12 2.416145 4.352372 7.731225 14.131341 26.140785 48.067497 91.965875
2026-04-19 2.241475 4.115680 7.451263 13.899982 26.263934 49.340280 96.628045
2026-04-26 2.084917 3.899410 7.190542 13.680245 26.384435 50.606424 101.374544
2026-05-03 1.941507 3.696284 6.937876 13.453051 26.466478 51.795379 106.058423
2026-05-10 1.810670 3.506894 6.696254 13.226007 26.525597 52.935130 110.730014
2026-05-17 1.785223 3.519707 6.841414 13.773938 28.183393 57.399739 122.771647
2026-05-24 1.721283 3.451213 6.822197 13.986614 29.167347 60.562719 132.307584
2026-05-31 1.631768 3.324386 6.677476 13.928107 29.575491 62.552025 139.442489
2026-06-07 1.542758 3.191992 6.511707 13.811485 29.847490 64.268033 146.113005